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Costa Rica Real Estate Market Forecast 2022

January 4, 2022 by Costa Rica Guy 2 Comments

On April 11, 2020, less than a month after Costa Rica closed its borders on March 16, I posted that there could be a “silver-lining” with regard to the effects of the pandemic on the Costa Rica real estate market.

Did my prediction come true?

You betcha it did!

Granted, it wasn’t until the latter part of 2020 that the market started turning around. Then in 2021 all hell broke loose as Costa Rica experienced one of the strongest bull real estate markets ever!!

How about 2022?

Will the bull continue to buck strong in the Costa Rica real estate market??

Before getting right to the prediction, let’s address a few questions that could lead to problems in the coming year (or years)…

What Will Happen to the U.S. Dollar (and Economy)?

One of the phenomena noted in that 2020 post was that although the COVID crisis had and would take a dire toll on the U.S. economy, the stock and real estate markets there had stayed relatively strong…

Why?

Mainly because the U.S. Government and its Federal Reserve Bank made sure it was so. How? By printing money and lots of it!

Now 2022 has come along and we are beginning to see inflationary effects rising for the first time in decades as a result of all that stimulus. Could that weaken the U.S. dollar going forward? Well, so far it hasn’t, but it certainly might.

If history shows us anything it’s that even though a country like the U.S. (with the world’s reserve currency) can get away with printing money to solve its economic woes better than other countries that don’t enjoy the luxury of a reserve currency, sooner or later the rooster has to come home to roost.

In order to tame the beast unleashed by washing away its problems with newly-minted greenbacks, the government will ultimately have to put on the brakes to avoid run-away inflation. That could in-turn put downward pressure on the portfolios of my would-be Costa Rica buyers and cause them to rethink their expat plans.

What Will be the Ongoing Effect of U.S. Internal Political Strife?

I just finished Ray Dalio’s new book, Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order: Why Nations Succeed and Fail. Dalio, who is widely regarded as one of the word’s greatest investors, says that the U.S. is at Stage 5 of the 6 stages a country passes through before it succumbs to outright civil war. Dalio says this is so due to the unprecedented internal political strife that currently exists and only seems to be worsening.

There are some things in 2022 that could happen to accelerate this worrisome trend…

First, there’s the 2022 mid-terms. With Joe Biden’s popularity steadily sinking, mainly due to the never-ending pandemic, together with rising inflation, there is a good chance that the Republicans will take control of Congress in 2022. And if they don’t, you can bet your bottom dollar cries of “election-stealing” will be blamed for the debacle.

If the Republicans do take control it might calm those claims and fears, but it will also hamper Joe Biden’s ability to do anything about the economy and only insure 2 more years of absolute grid-lock in Washington.

The other question looming in 2022 is the specter of Donald Trump actually getting locked up due to the revelations of the Jan 6 commission, or any of the other scandals he is enmeshed in.

While I am not going to make predictions with regard to either of the above, I will say that all this makes the prospect for continued (and growing) internal political strife even more of a threat to America’s societal well-being, as well as its place as a bastion of democracy.

In my previous post I noted that the political strife was one reason so many people were wanting to move to Costa Rica. And if the U.S. inches closer towards an actual “shooting” civil war, I would think that would continue to be the case.

Will COVID-19 Finally Dissipate as a World-Wide Threat?

The advent of the Omicron variant might signal that the virus is mutating itself into nothing more than a routine common cold. And with the vaccines and other meds that have been introduced to help with the more vulnerable elements of the population, it might be that the world is finally poised to escape from this ugly situation, or at least there’s light at the end of the tunnel.

However, since COVID seemed to be such a factor in stimulating demand in the Costa Rica real estate market in 2020 and 2021, could an end to the pandemic have the opposite effect?

That’s a damn good rhetorical question that I really don’t have an answer to. However, I can say that the pandemic unleashed some genies that will probably be hard to put back into the bottle, like the increased desire to work from home, even in a home located in a foreign country!

Will Costa Rica Be OK?

Costa Rica continues to struggle with an ongoing fiscal deficit problem. The pandemic has certainly made things worse and in 2020 it basically decimated the very important tourism sector…

However, it seems that “things” are being managed. COVID-19 has hit Costa Rica hard, but vaccination rates are high and hospitalization rates appear to be under control. People are now visiting again, both for tourism and to explore the idea of actually moving to Costa Rica. So, the tourism industry seems to be on the verge of a comeback. And all those dollars of foreign investment in 2021 couldn’t have hurt. The government also appears willing to make legal changes that will encourage even more wanna-be expats to make Costa Rica home.

Yes, I think Costa Rica is going to be OK – gracias a dios – barring that the rest of the world (especially that part to our north) doesn’t completely go to hell!

Having said all of the above, I predict that the market will again be strong in 2022…

What will happen beyond that is much harder to predict due to the noted “dark clouds” that continue to loom on the horizon.

Filed Under: Costa Rica Expat Living, Costa Rica Investment Tagged With: Costa Rica Real Estate Market

How to Play The Real Estate Game in Costa Rica

July 14, 2016 by Costa Rica Guy 2 Comments

The Real Estate Game in Costa Rica

The real estate game in Costa Rica has for years operated like poker in the Wild West…with few rules (all of which are made to be broken), lots of close-to-the-vest card holding, and cut-throat competition.

One aspect that makes things that way is that there really is no real regulated system of real estate brokerage. There’s no licensing of agents. There’s no MLS system to speak of, at least not a formal one. Many listings are “open”, which means the owner is not beholding to any one agent, but simply broadcasts his property out to all of them who want to take a crack at selling it.

All of that sort of makes things a bit of a mess when it comes to trying to do business as a real estate agent. Not to mention, trying to actually sell or buy a property.

This post will try to bring a bit of organization into the fray for buyers and sellers seeking the optimum manner of maneuvering the quagmire.

For many years the open listing was the norm. An open listing gives the listing agent a chance to sell and earn a commission only if that agent actually closes the deal. If another agent, also holding an open listing on the same property, beats him or her to the punch…too bad, so sad.

That has changed a bit in recent years, but open listings are still prevalent across the real estate landscape, albeit more-so in some areas than in others. And it is for that reason, among others, that things are really a mess out there.

Why is that?

Well, open listings just do not encourage a high degree of professionalism. If you take a step back and think about that objectively you can easily see why. From the standpoint of the agent, the open listing is really a crap shoot. The agent takes the listing on the hopes that maybe he will get lucky and sell the property before one of the other 10 agents the owner is also listing with sells it. If he or she puts a lot of time and effort into doing so, and it ends up being sold by another agent in a different agency, well then all that effort has completely gone to waste. So, what does the agent do? He puts minimal effort into selling the property. His goal becomes one of a numbers game. He wants lots of opens with the hope of selling some small percentage of them before anyone else does.

From the seller’s perspective, the open makes a lot of sense…at first blush. He gets to have his property represented by multiple brokerages. He is even free to sell it himself, without owing a commission to anyone! Pretty good result, or is it?

Why would a seller want to list exclusively? Well, let’s explore that a bit…

These days more and more quality brokerages are encouraging their agents to list properties exclusively. I know that Coldwell Banker certainly encourages me to do so. As a result more properties are being listed in this manner and the effect is the development of a sort of informal MLS system. That’s because once I have the exclusive, it is to my benefit to share my listing with other agencies. They have nothing to lose and I have everything to gain by exposing my exclusive on their web sites and in their marketing. I will return that favor with regard to their agents’ exclusives. With opens that of course never happens. Why would I share my open listing with any other agency when they can just sell it out from under me?

In addition, with an exclusive listing I am incentivized to bring a higher level of professionalism and effort to my marketing efforts. After all, if the property sells within the contract period, I gain, no matter in what manner it is sold. So, as an agent, I am not at risk in putting significant time and money into marketing the listing. And part of that effort would be sharing it with other agencies.

So, in effect, the seller is getting much of the same perceived “exposure” benefit of listing openly with many agencies, by listing exclusively with just one. In fact, he or she is getting that same perceived benefit plus a whole lot more in the form of a much more committed agent, who’s willing to put more marketing “skin” in the game than just throwing the listing up on a site and then forgetting about it!

Of course, it pays for the seller to know exactly what the agent intends to do in order to earn an exclusive listing. The agent should be able to present a cogent and concise marketing plan. The track record of that agent and his agency should be evaluated. If all that meets expectations…

I believe that it’s in the seller’s best interest to list exclusively with the right agency that meets his needs and with which he feels comfortable. After all, the overall goal is to get the property sold, correct? And if listing exclusively improves the chances of achieving that most desired result, why not go for it.

As more and more agents in Costa Rica realize that in order to compete effectively, they have to be able to maintain an inventory of high quality exclusive listings, it should gradually bring more order into the Wild West poker match that the real estate game in Costa Rica has long resembled.

Filed Under: Costa Rica Expat Living, Costa Rica Investment Tagged With: exclusive listings, open listings, real estate agent in costa rica, the real estate game in costa rica

Purchasing Costa Rica Real Estate with an IRA

June 28, 2016 by Costa Rica Guy 2 Comments

Purchasing Costa Rica Real Estate with an IRA

Let’s say you’ve run the U.S. rat-race for the past few decades and have a nice nest-egg to show for it. You’ve not reached “retirement age” quite yet, but that delightful day isn’t too far off. Your nest-egg is tied up in your 401K account and you don’t dare want to touch it, knowing that if you do, the tax man cometh and cometh hard.

You’ve heard that Costa Rica’s a nice place to invest, but apart from all that dough trapped in your 401K, you really don’t have any other way to access the funds to buy your little piece of Costa Rican paradise.

You’d like to make the investment asap and let it appreciate, while generating some income, over the next few years. Once you reach the ripe old age of 60, you’ll say sayonara to the boss and co-workers and head south to live out the rest of your days on that Costa Rican beach you’ve been reading about.

Well, you could roll over the funds in your 401K to a Self-Directed IRA, making sure to pick a custodian who allows investments in foreign real estate. Then you would direct your IRA custodian to make the investment in income producing Costa Rica real estate, either directly in the name of the IRA, or, even better, into the shares of a Costa Rican company, who will then receive the cash to fund the real estate purchase.

Then you sit back and watch your IRA-owned Costa Rica corporation rake in the income from your Costa Rica investment, without any U.S. tax implications. Once you finally reach retirement age you can then proceed to live out your years in your Costa Rica home.

Can you really do this? Is purchasing Costa Rica real estate with an IRA actually allowed? Sure, but with a few caveats.

First, any form of self-dealing is considering a prohibited transaction and will blow up the tax deferral benefit the IRA provides. That means you have to make sure the property the IRA purchases is not owned by a disqualified person, such as one of your relatives, brothers and sisters (and their spouses) excepted. You can’t rent the home to a disqualified person either.

You also can’t dare live or vacation in the home until you reach the ripe old age of 59.5. At that age you can receive a distribution of the home without triggering a penalty. The distribution would be taxable at ordinary income rates if your IRA is a traditional one. But if it’s a Roth IRA, then even the distribution of the home would not be taxable!

What kind of Costa Rica property can you purchase?

Well, the example above presumes a property that will produce a good rental income, such as a condo or home at a beach popular with the tourists. But you certainly aren’t limited to that. It could also be raw land, or a commercial building.

There really are no restrictions regarding the types of Costa Rica real estate your IRA can invest in.

Can your IRA borrow the money to buy the Costa Rica property? Yes, but it must be a “non-recourse” loan. That means a loan where the only thing the lender can go against in the event of default is the property itself. There are specialty lenders for these type loans. Obviously loan to value ratios are likely to be lower than with conventional mortgages.

Purchasing Costa Rica real estate with an IRA can be a great option to consider in the right situation.

As always, the many nuances of Self-Directed IRA purchases of foreign real estate are well beyond the purview of this short blog post. You should seek the advice of a qualified tax professional for your particular situation.

Filed Under: Costa Rica Expat Living, Costa Rica Investment

Is There a Costa Rica Capital Gains Tax?

June 21, 2016 by Costa Rica Guy Leave a Comment

Costa Rica Capital Gains Tax?

What is a capital gains tax and why is it often viewed as being controversial?

A gain is when an appreciating property you own, like a piece of real estate, a share of stock, or a bond, increases in value above what you paid for it. What you paid for it is called your “basis.” The gain can either be unrealized or realized. It’s unrealized until you sell it and once you do, it becomes realized. For most U.S. taxpayers, realized capital gains on assets that you’ve held for more than a year (so called, long-term capital gains) are taxed at a rate of 15%.

What’s controversial is that the income you would normally use to purchase such assets has already been taxed. So, it doesn’t seem fair for the government to tax your earned income and then tax you again on gains from the prudent activity of saving part of that income, rather than just spending all of it!

Now there are loopholes you can use to avoid paying tax on capital gains, such as 1031, or like-kind, exchanges, the resident home exclusion, selling assets within an IRA or 401K, and so forth.

How about real estate you own in Costa Rica? If you sell it and realize a gain, is it taxable?

Well, yes, if you are a U.S. citizen you would have to report this gain just like any other. Remember, the U.S. taxes you on your worldwide income, no matter where it is generated.

However, there is no Costa Rica capital gains tax. That is, as long as the gains were not derived from the operation of a real estate business, like being a developer and selling lots from your inventory.

So, you would be taxed in the U.S. on the sale of your Costa Rica property, but not in Costa Rica.

Is there a way to avoid the U.S. tax? Why certainly! If you hold the real estate in a Costa Rican corporation, rather than in your own name, then the gain would belong to the corporation and not to you. Since Costa Rica has no capital gains tax, the corporation would not be taxed on this gain!

Now, if you withdraw the gain from the corporation in a taxable form, then you would be subject to tax in Costa Rica and potentially subject to tax in the U.S. as well. However, the Foreign Earned Income Exclusion could come to your rescue, if you qualify, and allow you to escape any U.S. taxation on that income. Note, however, for this exclusion to apply, the income would have to be drawn out as earnings, such as a salary, and not in a passive way, like a dividend.

For instance, you could buy, sell, and reinvest within a Costa Rican corporation, thereby gradually building wealth over time, without ever having it taxed in either the U.S or Costa Rica! That would make your Costa Rican corporation a nice tax-free engine of wealth creation, sort of along the lines of an IRA or 401K, but without the morass of regulations, nor the forced taxable withdrawal requirements applicable once you reach what Uncle Sam considers your “retirement age.”

The absence of a Costa Rica capital gains tax is another reason the country has been very popular among Latin American countries for Foreign Direct Investment.

As always, the complexity of all these taxation rules is well beyond the purview of this short blog post. You should seek the advice of a qualified tax professional for your particular situation.

Filed Under: Costa Rica Expat Living, Costa Rica Investment

Can You Hide From Creditors in Costa Rica?

June 15, 2016 by Costa Rica Guy Leave a Comment

Can You Hide From Creditors in Costa Rica?

Everyone knows that Costa Rica is the perfect “get-away.” But, is it also the perfect “hide-away.”? That is, a place where you can hide yourself, and/or your assets, from those who’d like to take a nice fat financial swipe at them…for a legal cause, of course.

To pose the question is another manner; can one become judgment proof simply by moving, lock, stock and barrel, to Costa Rica? Can you hide from creditors in Costa Rica, successfully?

The technical answer is no. However, moving everything to Costa Rica will make it a whole lot harder for any creditor to reach you.

The answer is technically no because foreign judgments actually are enforceable in Costa Rica, by means of a rather involved court process called an “exequatur.”

An exequatur is a determination by a Costa Rican court declaring that a foreign judgment, or decision of a foreign court, is legally enforceable in Costa Rica. The particular court in Costa Rica that does this is called the Sala Primera of the Corte Suprema de Justicia (Sala I), the first division of the supreme court of Costa Rica. It alone decides what foreign judgments are enforceable here and which are not.

A party holding a judgment against you can petition the Sala I to enforce said judgment against you in Costa Rica. The court in Costa Rica will not re-try the case. It only approves, or denies, the exequatur.

For a foreign judgment to be declared enforceable in Costa Rica your creditor must supply the following information to the court:

1. The judgment from the foreign court, translated and authenticated;

2. Proof that the defendant (you) was properly served with the legal action in accordance with the laws of the country from which the case originates;

3. Proof the defendant was properly served with the final judgment;

4. Evidence the legal matter is not exclusively a Costa Rican one;

5. Proof the judgment is enforceable in the country from which it originates;

6. Proof that the judgment is not contrary to Costa Rica’s laws.

Most private interest exequaturs in Costa Rica have to do with family law matters, like divorce, or approving other martial affairs. The remaining ones usually have to do with adoption, or child support.

Court settlements and arbitration judgments are also enforceable using the process of exequatur.

So, yes, it is possible for your creditors to reach you in Costa Rica, but it isn’t easy. It will take time, probably a lot of time…and money.

Unless the issue is particularly egregious, that is, unless it involves an amount that would motivate someone to spend the considerable time and money to go after you via exequatur, you and your Costa Rica assets are probably safe from foreign judgments.

Now, does that mean you should actually consider the option of trying to hide from creditors in Costa Rica?

Well, there certainly are many expats in Costa Rica who are hiding from something. Hopefully, in your case, it’s simply from the rat race up north and not from creditors, your ex, or the law.

If you’d like to consider making your escape and becoming a Costa Rica expat, please consider a customized expat tour to get started.

Filed Under: Costa Rica Expat Living, Costa Rica Investment

Real Estate Appreciation in Costa Rica

June 13, 2016 by Costa Rica Guy Leave a Comment

Real Estate Appreciation in Costa Rica

Investments are supposed to make money and not lose it, right? And that’s equally true with regard to investments in Costa Rica real estate.

There’s an old, and for some, not so funny, joke that goes like this: You know the best way to become a millionaire in Costa Rica?

Answer: Bring two with you!

Yes, you can lose money in Costa Rica. And that’s especially true with respect to bad real estate deals. It pays to do your homework. So, let’s do a little of that with this post.

What is the outlook for real estate appreciation in Costa Rica?

Well, of course that depends on you making a good deal to begin with. In that light it pays to have a knowledgeable and ethical real estate professional guiding you. If you have no knowledge of Costa Rica, then you need to spend some time on the ground gaining that knowledge. You might want to consider taking an expat tour from a reliable source for such tours.

But the answer to the question posed, in general, is that the outlook for real estate appreciation in Costa Rica is favorable.

Partly because Costa Rica does indeed have a stable and growing economy. In fact, Costa Rica has one of the strongest economies in Latin America. It has a long-standing democratic tradition, with peaceful presidential elections and transitions of power taking place every 4 years. Costa Rica is a vibrant social democracy. It has no military and thus is freed from that heavy drain on revenue to spend money on its people, especially in areas of infrastructure, healthcare and education. Costa Rica has made great strides in improving its infrastructure, especially its notoriously bad roads, over the past decade. For these reasons, Costa Rica is ranked annually as one of the world’s happiest countries.

But the area that’s perhaps most relevant to real estate appreciation is Costa Rica’s growth in the tourism sector. Costa Rica has become on of the world’s major tourism draws. In 2015, Costa Rica attracted a record-breaking 2.7 million tourists from around the word. That represented 9% growth over the previous year and outpaced national GDP growth of 2.8% threefold! According to figures from the Costa Rican Tourism Board (ICT), the tourism sector was responsible for more than $2.8 billion in revenue during 2015 and employs roughly 600,000 people through direct and indirect employment.

Costa Rica’s strong tourism growth comes for good reason, as the country contains some of the world’s most stunning landscapes and most intense levels of biodiversity in flora and fauna. Almost 25% of the entire land mass of Costa Rica is set aside and protected from development as either national park, or some form of reserve or wildlife refuge.

Many who visit as tourists, stay as expats. The cycle of a potential expat is almost always, first visit as a tourist, then come back as an investor, and perhaps buy and live as a long-term resident. And that has made Costa Rica one of the leaders in Latin America for foreign direct investment.

That investment has been a double-edged sword for the local people, the ticos. While it has become an important component of the economy, it has also driven up prices, both for day-to-day living and for real estate. That can obviously be bad for the locals, but good for the foreign investor, at least in terms of the outlook for real estate appreciation in Costa Rica.

The bottom line: Costa Rica may not be one of the cheaper places to live in Latin America, but it is a place where you can expect sound investments in Costa Rica real estate to appreciate favorably over time.

And with the outlook for tourism growth looking very good, any real estate investment with strong touristic appeal should have favorable expectations for income generation as well.

Tourism is a major driver for the real estate market in Costa Rica and it appears to be driving it in the right direction.

Filed Under: Costa Rica Expat Living, Costa Rica Investment

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